Giants – Fansmanship https://www.fansmanship.com For the fans by the fans Fri, 12 Mar 2021 03:58:36 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.7.29 For the fans by the fans Giants – Fansmanship fansmanship.com For the fans by the fans Giants – Fansmanship http://www.fansmanship.com/wp-content/uploads/powerpress/Favicon1400x1400-1.jpg https://www.fansmanship.com/category/giants/ San Luis Obispo, CA Weekly-ish Dodgers-Giants Position-by-Position Comparison – Starting Pitching https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-giants-position-by-position-comparison-starting-pitching/ https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-giants-position-by-position-comparison-starting-pitching/#respond Wed, 08 Apr 2015 03:00:28 +0000 http://www.fansmanship.com/?p=16756 The baseball season started today and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started. Over the past few weeks, we’ve been going position by position and […]]]>

The baseball season started today and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started.

Over the past few weeks, we’ve been going position by position and comparing what personnel the two teams have in preparation for the 2015 season. Let’s finish up this blasted series by comparing pitching staffs.

A quick note — I had this entire post written, clicked save, and it went away into the abyss. The second complete draft of something like this is always worse. That means worse than my usual posts. Consider this fair warning.

Some of the spots in a rotation — who is the third versus fourth starter, for example — are up for debate. I’m going to go in the order of ZiPS Projections for the Dodgers and Giants. Follow the two links in the last sentence if you want to see those projections. I’ll refer to them some in the text to follow.

Ace — Clayton Kershaw vs. Madison Bumgarner

Clayton  Kershaw. The best pitcher on the planet. By Owen Main

Clayton Kershaw. The best pitcher on the planet. By Owen Main

Clayton Kershaw is, without a doubt, the best pitcher in baseball. He’s won three of the past four Cy Young Awards in the National League, including the past two.

Madision Bumgarner is coming off one of the greatest postseason pitching performances in recent memory. He has three World Series rings, which is two more than Kershaw.

Bumgarner is less than two years younger than the 27 year-old Kershaw, and both will surely have spectacular seasons. According the Fangraphs, Kershaw has been worth no less than 4.5 Wins Above Replacement for each of the past five seasons, including 7.0 last season.

Bumgarner has been worth three or more wins each of the past four seasons, including 4.1 last season — the second best season of his career.

Kershaw is the better pitcher of the two, but Giants fans won’t be rushing to trade places anytime soon. They believe Bumgarner has something Kershaw doesn’t come the post-season. According to the numbers and the whole of the past half-decade, I’ll take Kershaw all day.

Advantage: Dodgers

 Number Two — Zack Greinke vs. Jake Peavy

After Bumgarner, the Giants’ rotation gets really interesting. None of the other four truly stands-out. Peavy is a pitcher who has tormented the Dodgers for years. At the age of 33, Peavy is nearly a decade now from his truly dominant form, but last season he was good for 200-plus innings. His stuff isn’t what it used to be, but Giants fans would be happy with a stable and dependable pitcher that Peavy has been over the past few years. He’s not amazing, but he gives Bruce Bochy a chance to win whenever he steps on the mound.

ZiPS projects Peavy for about two wins about replacement in 2015.

Greinke would be an ace on most staffs. At the age of 31, his great performance over the past three years has been overshadowed by his left-handed teammate. ZiPS projects him for 3.7 WAR — basically splitting the difference between his last two seasons.

A few things I like especially about Greinke are his grittiness, athleticism, and quirkiness. He is the only Dodgers pitcher who has stood up for his hitters over the past few seasons, and it cost him time two years ago when Carlos Quentin broke his collar bone. Greinke can hit a little bit and was even the Gold Glove Award winner last year — the first such award of his career.

Greinke’s ceiling and floor for performance this year are higher than anyone on the Giants, save Bumgarner. He can opt-out of his contract after this season and sign an even bigger one too, so there’s definitely a little extra incentive for him to pitch really well this year.

The signing of Greinke can also be called Ned Colletti’s best signing as a General Manager. Greinke has been everything Dodger fans could have asked for, and then some.

Peavy would be a great fourth or fifth starter, but in the widest margin of this post, Greinke beats-out Peavy.

Advantage: Dodgers

Number Three – Hyun-jin Ryu vs. Tim Hudson

Things start to get interesting here. Much like Peavy, the 39 year-old Hudson isn’t exactly the pitcher he once was. Giants fans will tell me that he didn’t need to be that good to be a part of a championship rotation, and they’d be right. Things broke well for Hudson and the Giants last year and Hudson started 31 games. Even with a losing (9-13) record — the first losing season of Hudson’s career — he still gave the Giants value and stability in a pitcher they could depend on. While there are no indications of it other than his age, Giant fans hope this isn’t the season Hudson breaks-down completely.

Speaking of breaking-down, Hyun-jin Ryu, the Dodgers 28 year-old lefty from Korea, has started the season on the Disabled List.

Over the past few seasons, Ryu has quietly been a really really good pitcher. Greinke and Kershaw in front of him makes him not as flashy, but Ryu is a dependable, solid, and slightly overqualified number-three starter. Recently, I went down a Ryu YouTube rabbit hole. It was quite enjoyable.

Shoulder discomfort shut him down at the beginning of the season, but Ryu has generally been a workhorse when the Dodgers have needed it most over the past few years, going 28-15 over that span.

If Ryu wasn’t injured, this matchup would be a slam-dunk. Instead, a Giants fan could make an argument that having a dependable Hudson all season is better than say, half a season of Ryu (which would be a really bad scenario for the Dodgers in general). Hudson will probably have a solid, dependable year. Ryu though, will likely be much better when he does pitch.

Ryu has been solid for two years and even if he misses a month or up to even a few months, he still is a player I’d rather have than a 39 year-old Hudson.

Advantage: Dodgers

Number Four – Brandon McCarthy vs. Matt Cain

Health is always a huge question-mark with pitchers. The fourth and fifth starter positions for both the Dodgers and Giants will put health at a huge premium.

When healthy, Brandon McCarthy is a really good pitcher. In 2014, McCarthy started 30-plus games for the first time in his career (32 total), split between the Diamondbacks and Yankees. In exactly 200 innings, he put up a 4.05 ERA overall and a 2.89 ERA with the Yankees. Clearly, something clicked after his move to New York, and the Dodgers are hoping whatever it was can be sustainable throughout this season. McCarthy is also, immediately, the best twitter follow on the team (A.J. Ellis and Brett Anderson are both also, very good follows). The Dodgers seem pretty confident that he can stay healthy and effective evidenced by the four-year, $48 million contract they gave him this off season.

If McCarthy stays healthy, he’ll be exactly the kind of quality, middle of the rotation guy they need to be the kind of consistent team fans are hoping for.

Matt Cain used to be dominant. His statistics from 2007- 2010 (or even 2012) show a pretty great four or six-year run. After being good for 30-plus games per season for eight straight years, Cain’s body started to break down last season, when he only started 15 games, going 2-7. His WHIP, FIP, HR/9, and BB/9 all were at career-high levels. The Giants still went all Giants on everyone and won the World Series anyway, but the 30 year-old Cain is looking to bounce back this year and show at least some return to form going into his 30’s.

This one is really hard to call, so I’m going to take the coward’s way out and call this matchup a push. McCarthy is a little older, has less mileage, and probably is a little more injury prone. Cain’s numbers have declined over the past few seasons and now he’s starting to also fit into the “injury prone” category. Since the first draft of this post, Cain has been placed on the Disabled List to start the season.

In the end, I think Cain is still potentially likely to be more stable than McCarthy if he’s healthy, but McCarthy’s upside I see as higher, especially given his second half last season. Dodger fans might think I’m giving Cain too much credit here, but I’m comfortable calling this one just a straight-up push for now.

Advantage: Push

Brett  Anderson could have a solid comeback season -- if he can stay healthy. By Owen Main

Brett Anderson could have a solid comeback season — if he can stay healthy. By Owen Main

Number Five – Brett Anderson vs. Tim Lincecum

While Matt Cain was making his ridiculous six-year run, Lincecum was going on a ridiculous run of his own. The Freak won the National League Cy Young Award in 2008 and 2009, led the league in strikeouts for three straight years, and was worth somewhere in the neighborhood of 23 WAR over a four-year period. After starting 32-plus games per season for five years in a row, Lincecum started just 26 games last season, in his age-30 season.

According to Baseball-Reference.com, Lincecum has been worse than a replacement-level pitcher since 2011. Peripheral stats aside, Giants fans will tell me that Lincecum still got 33 starts for a World Series champion in 2012 and 26 for a World Series Champion in 2014.

By all accounts, Brett Anderson is really good — when he isn’t hurt. The former A’s lefty was good for Oakland in 2009 and 2010, but has only started 19 total games over the past three years. Anderson’s value to the Dodgers this season is probably going to be based on how many starts he’s actually able to make.

If the Dodgers even get 15-20 starts out of him, he could be really really useful. If his starts are in single digits and he gets hurt, then he’ll be less useful.

Advanced statistics aside and giving both guys some kind of benefit of the doubt, my question here is whether I would rather have an aging, less effective Lincecum for 25-30 starts, or whether Brett Anderson for (as ZIPS projects) 10 starts. While I like the argument about other guys also adding value after Anderson’s 10 or so starts for the Dodgers, I really think there is something to having a known entity on the mound. Lincecum has three World Series rings and two Cy Young Awards. He has been out there nearly every day for a lot of years and that, to me, is worth something over the course of the season, even if his skills are probably declining.

Hey, it’s the fifth starter, so literally ANYTHING could happen, but for now, I’m going to give Lincecum the nod, at least until I can see like 15 Brett Anderson starts.

Advantage: Giants

The Rest of the Story

Other Dodgers starters — Joe Wieland, Mike Bolsinger, Carlos Frias, Zach Lee, Julio Urias, Erik Bedard, Brandon Beachy

Other Giants starters – Ryan Vogelsong, Yusmeiro Petit, others?

The Dodgers definitely have the depth advantage here. They’ve picked up some “scrap-heap” guys in Bedard and Beachy — neither of whom have much risk associated and both of whom could give some spot starts. Joe Weiland is an interesting option, should Ryu stay on the Disabled List for long, or should any other Dodgers starter go there.

Zach Lee is another option the Dodgers have. A former top pick, Lee’s stock has slid some over the past year. But his pedigree is there, and he might have already been given a big Major League shot in some organizations. Frias is potentially a guy the Dodgers could use and I haven’t even mentioned Julio Urias, who probably still needs at least one more year in the minors.

As for the Giants, Vogelsong has already been called into action and will start the Giants’ second game today, with both Peavy and Cain going on the DL. He’s been serviceable, but not great since his hot start a few years ago. Petit is an interesting option and, given the collective age of the Giants’ starting staff, should also get an opportunity at some point this year to show what he’s made of.

There are lots of other pitchers on the Giants’ pipeline page, including former Cal Poly hurler Chase Johnson at #24, but I haven’t heard a whole lot about them. Maybe it’s because I’m not paying enough attention… .

That said, when it comes to organizational depth at the starting pitcher position, the Dodgers are in pretty darn good shape compared not only to the Giants, but to most other teams in baseball.

Advantage: Dodgers

Overall, the Dodgers have clear advantages in pitching outlook, but there’s a big caveat in the form of three trophies now sitting in San Francisco. Bruce Bochy is probably the best manager in baseball, and pitching staffs are affected by how they are utilized. It remains to be seen how the Dodgers protect, utilize, and try to get the most out of their guys this season. I’d rather be Don Mattingly with the Dodgers’ depth this season, but we know Bochy gets the most out of his guys.

What did I miss? Who did I miss? Why am I wrong? Add your comments below!

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Dodgers vs. Giants position-by-position comparison: Right Field https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-vs-giants-position-by-position-comparison-right-field/ https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-vs-giants-position-by-position-comparison-right-field/#respond Fri, 03 Apr 2015 23:58:11 +0000 http://www.fansmanship.com/?p=16749 The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started. Over the past few weeks, we’ve been going position by position […]]]>

The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started.

Over the past few weeks, we’ve been going position by position and comparing what personnel the two teams have in preparation for the 2015 season. Let’s finish up the defense with right field.

The “question” about right field in the Dodgers-Giants position-by-position comparison was already pretty simple. Then Hunter Pence got himself injured and now the issue is even more of a slam dunk in the Dodgers’ favor. Here’s how things break-down for both teams.

Gregor Blanco/Hunter Pence

Blanco, a utility outfielder who does everything decently except hit for power. In his age-30 season in 2014, Blanco played 146 games and managed 29 extra-base hits. His OPB/SLG/OPS line was .333/.374/.707 as Blanco won his second World Series title in San Francisco.

The outlook for Blanco is probably not as valuable in right field as it might be in center, where his defense can be utilized. He will definitely be spelling Angel Pagan there, but with Pence on the shelf for the near future, Blanco is the guy for now.

In Pence, who was hit by a pitch and broke his arm early in spring training, the Giants lose probably their biggest returning offensive threat not named Buster. Pence hasn’t missed a game in either of the past two seasons and batted .277 with 20 home runs and 74 RBIs in 2014. He will be back, but who knows how the broken arm will especially affect his power.

The Giants needed Pence at full-speed to be close to potent offensively this year. They’ll get by with pitching and defense for a while, but the Pence’s pop in the middle of the lineup will be missed early-on.

Can Yasiel Puig have an even better season in 2015? By Owen Main

Can Yasiel Puig have an even better season in 2015? By Owen Main

Yasiel Puig

Much has been said about Yasiel Puig over the past few seasons. He had a ridiculous run in just over 100 games in 2013 and followed it up last season with a stellar year. His energy is something this team has fed off of and, as other players (Matt Kemp, Hanley Ramirez, etc…) have departed, this team looks more and more like Puig’s to take — if he’s ready for that leadership role.

Whether he’s ready to be that clubhouse leader, he’s been leading the team on the field for two seasons (during which time he’s put up about 10 wins above replacement) and figures to be the Dodgers’ best field player again this year.

When Puig gets a rest or is put in center field (neither will happen very often) the Dodgers have options still. Andre Ethier can play right field. So could Scott Van Slyke in a pinch. If he wasn’t manning center field, Joc Pederson could also be a guy in right, though Puig figures to play 150-plus games there if everything goes right this year.

While this team is much more diverse than years past, Puig is the centerpiece of the push this year. Dodger fans would like to think they can sustain any kind of injury or poor play from any of their roster, but Puig, along with Clayton Kershaw, is a player the Dodgers cannot afford to have perform at anything other than top gear.

This is my opportunity to once again say how dumb Puig’s benching was in last year’s playoffs. He was their best player, even if he was striking out a ton. Dumb Dumb Dumb. Now that I have that off my chest, let’s move on.

While Puig would have already been ahead of Pence, the Dodgers’ right-fielder is light-years ahead of a Pence/Blanco combination. Puig’s ceiling could see him in the thick of the MVP race. I can’t say that about many players.

Advantage: Dodgers. Resoundingly.

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Dodgers vs. Giants position-by-position comparison: Center Field https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-vs-giants-position-by-position-comparison-center-field/ https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-vs-giants-position-by-position-comparison-center-field/#respond Wed, 18 Mar 2015 14:00:36 +0000 http://www.fansmanship.com/?p=16723 The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started. I thought it would be fun to, over the next […]]]>
Angel Pagan's ability to return from back surgery could be a key to the Giants building their lineup as flexibly as they want this season. By Ray Ambler, RA Photos

Angel Pagan’s ability to return from back surgery could be a key to the Giants building their lineup as flexibly as they want this season. By Ray Ambler, RA Photos

The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started.

I thought it would be fun to, over the next few weeks, go position by position and compare what personnel the two teams have in preparation for the 2015 season. Let’s finish up the defense up the middle with the center fielder.

Position by Position: Catcher

Position by Position: First Base

Position by Position: Second Base

Position by Position: Third Base

Position by Position: Shortstop

Position by Position: Left Field

Joc Pederson

Joc Pederson has spent the last few years building acclaim in the minor leagues. He had a cup of coffee in 2014 with limited success, hitting just .143 in 38 plate appearances. Pederson’s minor league numbers are much better though. In the launching pad that is the Pacific Coast League, Pederson hit 33 home runs in 121 games last year.

His first of the spring came over the head of right-fielder Will Ferrell.

Ferrell doesn’t have much range anyway, but this one looked like it was going to go to the moon. It’s the kind of thing Dodger fans hope happens a lot this season.

At 22 years of age, Pederson looks like he’ll be given the starting center field job to lose. The Palo Alto, California product should be able to upgrade the Dodgers’ defense in center field after the departure of Matt Kemp and the uncertainty surrounding Andre Ethier.

Pederson seems like he’ll have a productive first year. He’s on the top of everyone’s prospect list. He was Baseball America’s number 8 prospect before this season.

Dodger fans will at-worst get not much less than they got last season from the center field position with a distinct upgrade defensively. At-best, Pederson could be a revelation — center fielders who hit 25-30 homers don’t grow on trees, after all.

Of non-pitchers, ZiPS projects Pederson to be the third most valuable Dodger behind Yasiel Puig and Howie Kendrick. A lot of this comes from the position he will play and how he’ll play it.

Angel Pagan

Angel Pagan has hit .283 over a 9-year major-league career through 2014. In three seasons in San Francisco, Pagan’s Giants have won two World Series titles with Pagan as their main center fielder. His steady play and timely hitting have provided some spark in their lineup and Bruce Bochy will be counting on him again in 2015.

Last season, Pagan has back issues, which isn’t a great sign for a center fielder in his decline phase. At age 33, Pagan probably cannot be expected to man the vast center field reaches of AT&T Park at the same levels he has. I’m a few months older than him and I can attest to the fact that bodies start breaking down at a certain point.

That said, Pagan has a decent history and the Giants are counting on him to have a bounce-back season. If he doesn’t, the Giants have two versitile outfield defenders in Gregor Blanco and Nori Aoki ready to fill-in. Coming off back surgery, I would expect the Giants not to rush Pagan back to playing 6 days per week.

Since they have I would expect them to shuffle the lineup a little to start the season. I actually think they would have liked to mix and match Aoke, Pagan, and Blanco in left and center field more, but with Hunter Pence’s recent injury, players like Travis Ishikawa also might see some serious playing time, though not in center field.

The verdict

I know I made the argument in my shortstop comparison that Jimmy Rollins, at age 36, could hold his own enough to not drop-off significantly this season. I don’t think I can make the same argument for Pagan.

The Giants are an “every other year” good team, so this is the year a lot of things could go wrong for them. One of these things might be the level they are depending on Pagan’s bat.

I’m bullish on Pederson. Yes, he will strike out a lot. But he’ll also be a plus fielder (a huge improvement for the Dodgers) and he should provide consistent play and energy that you can expect from a young whipper snapper.

If both play, the downside for Pederson is lower than Pagan’s, but Pederson’s upside is so much higher that it’s hard to go any other way. No risk, no reward.

Center Field Advantage: Dodgers

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Dodgers vs. Giants position-by-position comparison: Shortstop https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-vs-giants-position-by-position-comparison-shortstop/ https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-vs-giants-position-by-position-comparison-shortstop/#comments Tue, 17 Mar 2015 17:45:43 +0000 http://www.fansmanship.com/?p=16694 The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started. I thought it would be fun to, over the next […]]]>
Brandon Crawford's pedestrian offensive numbers can hide the value he brings defensively. By Ray Ambler - RAPhotos.com

Brandon Crawford’s pedestrian offensive numbers can hide the value he brings defensively. By Ray Ambler – RAPhotos.com

The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started.

I thought it would be fun to, over the next few weeks, go position by position and compare what personnel the two teams have in preparation for the 2015 season. Pitchers will come last, but we’ll finish off the infield with the most important infielder of them all — the shortstop.

Position by Position: Catcher

Position by Position: First Base

Position by Position: Second Base

Position by Position: Third Base

Position by Position: Left Field

Jimmy Rollins

Positionally, the Dodgers had enough of Hanley Ramirez over the past few seasons to make the cost of his bad defense somewhat defensible. They also had to play someone who wasn’t Hanley Ramirez at the position over 2/3 of the time over the past two seasons. When they needed him most, and when he was playing his best, the Cardinals drilled Ramirez in the ribs. Nobody ever “stood-up” for Hanley in any kind of a real way and the Dodgers withered away in the playoffs two straight years.

This season, Hanley is in Boston and the Dodgers acquired a much cheaper option who they aren’t committed to long-term. Along with double-play partner Howie Kendrick, Jimmy Rollins is really the embodiment of what the Dodgers did this offseason. They gave themselves what they hope is above average production while maintaining flexibility to spend their sizable funds elsewhere if need be.

Rollins isn’t Ramirez at the plate, but the Dodgers hope he can make up for it by not being an atrocious fielder. Even at the age of 36, Rollins is an average shortstop defensively — a huge upgrade — and can be a solid everyday leadoff hitter. Even though he isn’t as potent an offensive weapon as Ramirez, Rollins has played in 84 more games than Hanley over the past two seasons — the equivalent of a half a season. That reliability is worth a lot to a team that doesn’t have a ton of immediate depth at the position (Corey Seager is in the minors, but is probably still a year away).

Rollins is a widely-respected World Series champion and, in contrast to the departed Matt Kemp, is seen as a guy who is easy to get along with. By all accounts, he’s a reliable clubhouse leader. He is from the West coast (Oakland area) and the Dodgers feel he still has a lot to give.

While he’s been mostly injury-free during his career, the Dodgers hope they can get a lot of games out of

Rollins is projected by ZiPS for slightly more than two wins above replacement. Dodger fans hope that number is buoyed by the clubhouse atmosphere upgrade he also brings.

Brandon Crawford

Brandon Crawford is projected by ZiPS to be the third-highest field-playing contributor to the Giants’ overall success this season. Crawford hit under .250 last year, but his good defensive play makes him a valuable commodity for San Francisco in the middle of their infield.

Seriously, Crawford is really good at defense. Really good. He has great range and even if you don’t put a lot of weight in advanced defensive metrics, having a solid shortstop to anchor your defense has trickle-down effects that aren’t easily measured.

If you do want to hear about his defense, Crawford had an insane UZR/150 in 2012 (10.0). He was 10 defensive runs better than the average shortstop according to this number. Instead of making lots of insane plays like he did two or three years ago, Crawford got better at making just about all the “kind of tough” plays.

The bottom line is that Crawford has been steadily getting better each of the past three years and is 28 years-old. At that age, maintaining his value or even getting a little better is not out of the question, and projections for this season like a player of his age and profile.

Also, he’s been a contributor to two World Series champions, and that cannot be dismissed.

The verdict

Over time, defensive play at shortstop declines at varying rates, depending on the player. Rollins is a player who makes virtually all the routine plays, and has for years. Crawford has just three years of data, but seems to be slightly better defensively. Add to that the advantage that a eight-year age difference gives the San Fransciso shortstop and you have to give the defensive advantage to Crawford.

At this point in his career, Rollins may have the hitting edge by just about the same margin that Crawford has the edge in fielding. At first glance, I would think that Rollins has more of an advantage than that at the plate, but I haven’t seen Rollins play every day for the past few years.

I hate myself for doing this, but I’m going to do the position preview of calling a double-foul in basketball.

I’m calling this one a push.

I know, I’m disappointed in myself for not choosing, but this one is too close to call right now. Talk to me in August and let me know how dumb I was to call this one a draw.

Shortstop Advantage: Push

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Video: You guys, Yasiel Puig homers against the Giants https://www.fansmanship.com/video-you-guys-yasiel-puig-homers-against-the-giants/ https://www.fansmanship.com/video-you-guys-yasiel-puig-homers-against-the-giants/#respond Mon, 09 Mar 2015 21:24:05 +0000 http://www.fansmanship.com/?p=16665 MMMMmmmm. Puig home runs. Against the Giants. It’s baseball season, you guys! Yes, it’s still spring. But with Mike Krukow’s comments from earlier in the year and the level that the Dodgers are counting on their young Cuban outfielder, isn’t it nice to see Puig take one out against the Orange and Black? The bat-flip […]]]>

MMMMmmmm. Puig home runs. Against the Giants.

It’s baseball season, you guys!

Yes, it’s still spring. But with Mike Krukow’s comments from earlier in the year and the level that the Dodgers are counting on their young Cuban outfielder, isn’t it nice to see Puig take one out against the Orange and Black? The bat-flip (or lack thereof) was still in spring training form. Maybe by next week, it’ll be a little saucier.

 

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Dodgers vs. Giants position by position comparison: Left Field https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-vs-giants-position-by-position-comparison-left-field/ https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-vs-giants-position-by-position-comparison-left-field/#comments Sun, 08 Mar 2015 19:45:01 +0000 http://www.fansmanship.com/?p=16650 The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started. I thought it would be fun to, over the next […]]]>

Whether it's Carl Crawford, Scott Van Slyke, or Andre Ethier who spends the most time in left field, that person will be better than Gregor Blanco. By Adam_sk (Own work) [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

Whether it’s Carl Crawford, Scott Van Slyke, or Andre Ethier who spends the most time in left field, that person will be better than Gregor Blanco. By Adam_sk (Own work) [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started.

I thought it would be fun to, over the next few weeks, go position by position and compare what personnel the two teams have in preparation for the 2015 season. Technically, we’re not done with the infield, but I wanted to talk about Carl Crawford, so we’re going to go out to left field today.

Position by Position: Catcher

Position by Position: First Base

Position by Position: Second Base

Position by Position: Third Base

Carl Crawford and co.

The Dodgers outfield is kind of a ridiculous log-jam. Despite trading away Matt Kemp, there are at least four, and perhaps five players who are good enough to start regularly. The problem is that only one of those five is really a center fielder. All five are probably best served in corner outfield spots.

So when we start to talk about left field, the log-jam is really between four players and two spots.

Carl Crawford is the presumed starting left fielder — as long as his body will hold up. When he’s played over the past two seasons, the 33 year-old Crawford has posted good numbers.

Crawford has played about 110 games per year in his two seasons in Los Angeles. The farther he gets away from his 2012 Tommy John surgery, the closer to his former numbers he seems to get. Last year he hit .300/.339/.429 and was a solid part of the lineup for about 2/3 of the season.

At this point in his career, having Crawford on the roster almost necessitates other readily available and prepared options. To back Crawford up, the Dodgers currently have both Scott Van Slyke and Andre Ethier. If Crawford were to get hurt, a Van Slyke-Ethier platoon could be one of the best platoon situations in baseball.

If Crawford manages to stay healthy enough to play 120-130 games, he will need consistent days off anyway, and this is where Van Slyke can really make an impact this year.

Van Slyke kills left-handed pitching, posting an OPS of 1.045 in 108 at-bats last year. With Adrian Gonzalez and Crawford in their mid-30’s and left-handed, Van Slyke figures to get some playing time against lefties.

Gregor Blanco and Nori Aoki

Looking at stats from players like Gregor Blanco really makes me question just how the Giants did it last season. Blanco racked-up almsot 400 at-bats last season, hitting .260 and slugging just .374. He did walk 41 times, so maybe he’s an ideal number-eight hitter. Blanco is projected by ZiPS to put up just over a single Win Above Replacement (WAR).

Blanco’s presumed backup, Juan Perez, isn’t burning-up the projections either. Juan Perez hit .170 in 100 at-bats for the Giants last season. Overall, the Giants’ left-field group is going to be pretty light-hitting, it seems.

Nori Aoki, also a left-handed hitter, was going to also factor into the comparison in left field. As the season goes on, he actually may, but with Hunter Pence out of the lineup indefinitely, Aoki will be included in the right-field comparison.

The verdict

The question for the Dodgers is whether having so many capable big leaguers is a good thing. Even though guys like Crawford and Andre Ethier are overpaid for what their production is likely to be, the question of this series is not one of value, but rather one of production. If Giants left fielders are more productive than whoever plays there for the Dodgers, it would be maybe the biggest upset of this whole position-by-position comparison.

Left Field Advantage: Dodgers

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Dodgers vs. Giants position by position comparison: Third Base https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-vs-giants-position-by-position-comparison-third-base/ https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-vs-giants-position-by-position-comparison-third-base/#respond Mon, 02 Mar 2015 18:02:15 +0000 http://www.fansmanship.com/?p=16633 The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started. I thought it would be fun to, over the next […]]]>

The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started.

I thought it would be fun to, over the next few weeks, go position by position and compare what personnel the two teams have in preparation for the 2015 season. Today’s position: third base.

Second base showcases the Dodgers’ best off-season aquisition against an up-and-comer for the Giants.

Position by Position: Catcher

Position by Position: First Base

Position by Position: Second Base

Apparently, Juan Uribe dyed his beard blonde at one point? This must have been during the McCourt era... . By bridgetds on Flickr, via Wikimedia Commons

Apparently, Juan Uribe dyed his beard blonde at one point? This must have been during the McCourt era… . By bridgetds on Flickr, via Wikimedia Commons

Juan Uribe

Juan Freaking Uribe.

Over the past five seasons, the range of fan emotions I’ve had about Uribe has spanned from fan-loathing to pure, unadulterated joy.

The first two seasons of Uribe’s career in Los Angeles were the worst. Over those two seasons, Uribe played just 143 games and, according to Fangraphs.com, contrubuted .5 total wins above replacement.

Contextually, the Dodgers were on their way to filing for bankruptcy and simultaneously paying a Giants retread $8 million per season to play as well as a replacement-level third baseman. It’s a chain of events that had me tickled to find this website, where someone could share in my passionate sideways look at the Dodgers’ decision to sign Uribe.

Then Uribe hit the third and final year of his original Dodgers contract, and had a career season. In 2013, Uribe put up 5.0 WAR (Fangraphs) and pretty much redeemed himself.

The moment of redemption, in my eyes, came in a playoff game I attended.

With the Dodgers down a run and yours truly in the loge level, Uribe came through in a big way.

It was as happy a baseball moment I’ve had probably in the last 20 years, and it was thanks to a guy I took a while to come around on. The mini bat-flip. The arms raised. Dodger Stadium was insane that night.

Uribe signed a new deal before last year and played in just 103 games in 2014. To expect him to play more than 120 or so games in any season at his age, with his miles, and with his body type is probably unrealistic. That said, he’s still an above average defender at third base and he’s a decent right-handed bat at the bottom of the order. If he’s one of your top-five hitters, that might be problematic, but Uribe has performed well enough for the last two seasons to expect decent performance in 2015.

Casey McGehee

Casey McGehee is best known for his solid 2010 season with the Brewers. That year, McGehee hit 23 homers and made himself known as someone who could contribute above-average power at third base.

Since then, it’s been a roller coaster. McGehee contributed negative (Fangraphs) WAR numbers in 2011 and 2012, and did not play in 2013. Going into last year, he was once again an unknown.

Playing for Miami in 2014, McGehee seems to have resurrected his career. Last season, he hit just four homers, but managed to drive in 76 runs while posting a .287/.355/.357 split (batting average/on-base percentage/slugging percentage). This offseason, the Giants acquired McGehee for a pair of minor league pitchers.

McGehee is the kind of Aubrey Huff-like player that the Giants pick up for less than they’re worth and somehow get the most out of. ZiPS likes him for a lower WAR number than Uribe this season, but he is three years younger, which means he’ll probably play more games than his 35 year-old counterpart in Los Angeles. If McGehee over-performs a little and stays healthy, he could pass-up Uribe, especially if Uribe hovers around the 100-game mark throughout the year.

The verdict

This has been the hardest yet to call one way or the other. Even though he’s playing in a ballpark where homers go to die, I kind of like McGehee to get back to double-digit homers in 2015. I’m also not sure that Uribe can stay healthy at his age for an entire season.

Uribe has gone from a guy who I was constantly frustrated with as a fan to a reliable clubhouse leader, whether he’s in the game or not. On top of everything, Uribe is in a contract year, and the last time that happened was his career year in 2013. While McGehee hasn’t had two good seasons in a row in the majors ever, I wouldn’t be surprised if it happened this year. That said, I’m going with Uribe on this one.

Third Base Advantage: Dodgers

Giants fans, I’m interested to hear how you feel about McGehee. Is he going to give way to Arias on a consistent basis? Is there anyone in your system you’d rather see at the position? Did the Giants adequately fill the hole left by the Pablo Sandoval departure?

Comment below.

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Dodgers-Giants position-by-position comparison: Second Base https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-giants-position-by-position-comparison-second-base/ https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-giants-position-by-position-comparison-second-base/#comments Tue, 24 Feb 2015 04:10:32 +0000 http://www.fansmanship.com/?p=16592 The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started. I thought it would be fun to, over the next […]]]>

The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started.

I thought it would be fun to, over the next few weeks, go position by position and compare what personnel the two teams have in preparation for the 2015 season. Today’s position: First base.

Second base showcases the Dodgers’ best off-season aquisition against an up-and-comer for the Giants.

Position by Position: Catcher

Position by Position: First Base

Howie Kendrick et. al

The Dodgers made a flurry of deals that sent fans and media-types into a frenzy in December. First, they traded All-Star Dee Gordon to Miami for a group of players that included pitcher Andrew Heaney. They then flipped Heaney for Howie Kendrick who, by virtually all measures, is better than Gordon, albeit older.

So, the Dodgers improved at second base AND pocketed the assets of INF Enrique Hernandez, RP Chris Hatcher, and C/IF Austin Barnes. The question to be addressed for the purpose of this post is the value of Kendrick.

Surrounded by Mike Trout, Jared Weaver, and Josh Hamilton for the past few seasons, Kendrick has quietly been one of the most consistent second basemen in baseball. The 31 year-old was good for over five wins last season and is projected to be second-most valuable hitter — only to Yasiel Puig — in the Dodgers’ lineup.

He isn’t likely to have a season quite like last year, but his solid defense and complete all-around game should make him a solid contributor that, as much as anyone, the Dodgers are counting on.

Backup second-basemen on the Dodgers are not in short supply either. Alex Guerrero, the heralded Cuban middle infielder was paid highly, but was ranked only 19th by Dustin Nosler in his recent Dodgers prospect rankings. He can hit — probably — but where he fits-in defensively is a game lots of people have been playing lately. He isn’t a player that the current management brought-in and it’ll be interesting to see how and whether his career progresses.

Darwin Barney is another backup option at second. He should be a decent backup infielder.

The option for backup at second base that I think is the most interesting is probably Enrique Hernandez. Hernandez is only 23 and with Barney on the roster, he might have a hard time making the opening day roster.

That said, he hit .319 in the minors last year and seems like he could be competent. Not only did the Dodgers get Kendrick via a piece of the Dee Gordon trade, they also got a potential back-up directly for the Marlins. Not bad.

Joe Panik and friends

Joe Panik has played all of 73 Major League games and 269 at-bats. He is kind of, by definition, unproven.

Also, Panik was the starting second baseman on a World Series winner in 2014. That counts for a lot I think. While he hit just .233 in 17 postseason games, Giants fans remain bullish on Panik. There aren’t any more experienced or better players in line to play for the Giants at second base.

The guys who are on the 40-man roster and will presumably back-up Panik are less interesting than him.

The verdict

This one is pretty easy. Panik gives Giants fans the excitement of the unknown, but Kendrick’s track record is really great and the Dodgers have more experience and more options at the position.

Second base: Dodgers

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Dodgers-Giants position-by-position comparison: First Base https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-giants-position-by-position-comparison-first-base/ https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-giants-position-by-position-comparison-first-base/#respond Thu, 19 Feb 2015 23:11:12 +0000 http://www.fansmanship.com/?p=16566 The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started. I thought it would be fun to, over the next […]]]>

The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started.

I thought it would be fun to, over the next few weeks, go position by position and compare what personnel the two teams have in preparation for the 2015 season. Today’s position: First base.

First base is a big contrast. The Dodgers have one of the steadiest guys in the league and a bona-fide star at the position. The Giants have at least three players who could see significant time at the position. Back-up players will be in parenthesis.

Position by Position: Catcher

Adrian Gonzalez (Scott Van Slyke?, Andre Ethier?, ?)

Gonzalez is the start and the end of the first base conversation for the Dodgers. The 32 year-old led the National League with 116 RBI’s last season and finished seventh in the MVP voting. He played in 159 games — the most since he was traded from San Diego to Boston — and was one of the steadier Dodgers. He hit 27 homers, but his batting average “dipped” to .276, his lowest full season in the major leagues.

As Gonzalez gets farther and farther away from a shoulder injury five years ago, he continues to show that he is a very productive player in the heart of the Dodgers’ order. His dependability and durability last season played a big part in the team winning as many games as they did.

ZIPS projects Gonzalez to have a slightly worse year than last season when counting home runs, RBI, WAR, and other counting statistics, but an identical or better year than 2014 is within the realm of possibility. When he plays, it’s likely Gonzalez will contribute at the steady rate he has for most of the past two seasons. The question will be — can he stay healthy? Dodgers fans better hope so.

Brandon Belt (Buster Posey, Andrew Susac?)

The Giants’ depth chart is fun and hard to nail-down at this position. (Although I’m scratching my head to find out why a depth chart that boasts to have been updated today shows Travis Ishikawa as a first-base option…) The chart in question shows Buster Posey as the starting catcher and back-up first baseman, which makes a ton of sense. Posey’s ability to play first base and the team’s desire for him to do the same will make the position a really flexible one.

The issue is one of playing time at first base. ZIPS likes Belt and Susac to have roughly equal contribution this season for the Giants, but that dosn’t say anything about playing time or where that playing time will happen for either Susac and Posey. Presumably, Susac will play mostly behind the plate, giving Posey a chance to sit-out or man first base against left-handed pitchers while giving Belt the night off. If Belt is less effective or injured again, a scenario where Susac and Posey basically platoon between the two positions, excepting days off.

Belt will be turning 27 years-old in 2015. He should be right in his prime in his fourth year in the majors. Injuries limited Belt to 61 regular season games last year, perhaps contributing to a mild ZIPS projection of less than two wins. He could produce twice that, which would put him somewhere close to where Adrian Gonzalez was a season ago. He could also be closer to the two-win player that ZIPS projects him as.

One really good, steady guy vs. options

While I’ve been touting the Dodgers giving themselves lots of organizational flexibility and options during the offseason, they don’t have a ton of flexibility at first base. In a pinch, I suppose Juan Uribe could play there as well, though someone like Andre Ethier could also fill-in were Gonzalez to go down for any length of time.

The question when comparing the Dodgers and Giants at this position is one of flexibility. Would you rather be the Giants, who have a decent starter, a catcher getting off the position for 30-40 games, and a relative unknown? Or would you rather be the Dodgers, with the best player at the position between the two teams but with some question marks after that.

Because of Gonzalez’ season last year, I’ll take the Dodgers, but not by as big a margin as Dodgers fans would like to think. If Adrian stays healthy all year and has a season close to the one he had last year, it won’t be close. If something else happens, or if Belt improves significantly, then the difference could be marginal.

Advantage: Dodgers.

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Dodgers-Giants position-by-position comparison: Catcher https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-giants-position-by-position-comparison-catcher/ https://www.fansmanship.com/dodgers-giants-position-by-position-comparison-catcher/#comments Tue, 17 Feb 2015 05:18:15 +0000 http://www.fansmanship.com/?p=16556 The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started. I thought it would be fun to, over the next […]]]>

The baseball season’s coming up and Mike Krukow thinks Yasiel Puig is dumb for not pegging the Giants as their biggest rival. In San Luis Obispo, I’d say they are, though the two teams have not met in the playoffs since the Wild Card round started.

I thought it would be fun to, over the next few weeks, go position by position and compare what the two teams have in preparation for the 2015 season. Today’s position: Catcher.

While catchers have lots of value behind the plate, they might lose some of it if and when they play first base, where it’s easier to find a Posey-like hitter. To be clear, I didn’t look into things deeply enough to disseminate the difference. I’m simply evaluating three catchers on each 40-man roster and trying to figure out which team will be better and by what kind of margin that will be the case.

Buster Posey. He's good. By SD Dirk on Flickr, via Wikimedia Commons

Buster Posey. He’s good. By SD Dirk on Flickr, via Wikimedia Commons

Buster Posey, Hector Sanchez, and Andrew Susac

For the Giants, the catcher position has been solidified for the past five seasons. During the first five full years of Buster Posey’s career, the team has won three World Series titles and the 27 year-old already has a Rookie of the Year and MVP award to go along with a pair of Silver Slugger awards.

The Giants have done a great job of limiting Posey’s innings, which could help him to be able to play primarily behind the plate for longer. Posey has racked-up 18 WAR over the past three years and should be right in the middle of his prime.

ZIPS projects Posey to have another fantastic year — 19 homers and 87 RBIs while posting a 6.4 WAR. I THINK that much of Posey’s WAR value has to do with the fact he plays catcher and the positional adjustment that goes along with that, so moving him off the position for much longer than he already is would have a detrimental effect.

Hector Sanchez has been the Giants’ primary backup at the position. It’s safe to say he’s a significant drop-off in terms of expected production. Sanchez played roughly 317 innings behind the plate last season in 45 games. But Sanchez’ contribution was not good — even for a catcher. The 25 year-old Venezuelan posted a -0.3 WAR, mainly attributable to his .196 batting average, .301 slugging percentage, and .538 OPS.

It’s certainly arguable that the marginal impact of utilizing a player like Sanchez didn’t affect the Giants’ ability to win. After all, the team did manage to post an 88-74 record, make the playoffs, and win the World Series. What is there to not like?

Sanchez is projected by ZIPS to bounce back and earn a .6 WAR for the upcoming season, putting the Giants total at the position

Andrew Susac is an interesting wild card in my position projections game. Susac is projected to have the fifth-highest zWAR of any hitter on the Giants and can play either first base or catcher, allowing him to platoon with Posey. Here’s what Fangraphs’ Carson Cistulli said of Susac in the Giants ZIPS projections post:

Neglected in the discussion of San Francisco’s batting core above but also the recipient of an encouraging projection is catcher Andrew Susac. His competence will allow Bruce Bochy to deploy Posey at first base for purposes of rest and against left-handed pitchers.

The emergence of Susac could make Sanchez’ apparent replacement-level performance meaningless.

Overall, ZIPS projects the Giants’ corps of catchers to produce 8.9 WAR. This number is… well… large. Good catchers and depth at the position are hard to come by. The Giants will definitely have one and could have both this year.

Yasmani Grandal, A.J. Ellis, and Austin Barnes

The Dodgers also have three catchers on the 40-man roster — none as decorated as Posey.

The incumbent is Ellis, a 33 year-old favorite of ace Clayton Kershaw. Ellis has received the majority of playing time behind the plate for the past three seasons, though he played only 93 games last season due to some knee issues.

After posting 5.7 combined WAR in 2012 and 2013, Ellis regressed to post exactly 0.0 WAR last year. This season, ZIPS is projecting A.J. to put up 1.7 WAR, presumably all behind the plate. A potential resurgence from a healthy A.J. Ellis didn’t stop the team from bringing in a few fresh faces for 2015.

One of those faces came from the Padres in the Matt Kemp trade. Yasmani Grandal. Grandal is one of the great unknowns for the Dodgers this season. He will almost certainly get more time behind the plate than Ellis, who is likely to be Clayton Kershaw’s “personal catcher” this year. Grandal’s suspension for PED use is well-documented, but neither the Dodgers (who traded for him) nor ZIPS (which projected him as the fifth-highest WAR on the team this year at 2.8) seemed to have any qualms about the 26 year-old Cuban. If he can stay healthy.

The Dodgers’ version of a prospect wild-card comes in the person of Austin Barnes. Barnes came to Los Angeles in the deal that sent Dee Gordon to Miami. Though he’s never played in the major leagues, Barnes is a diminutive and athletic utility defender who can play second or third base, along with catcher. Grandal is oft-injured, Ellis is getting old, and the season is a long one. We will see Barnes get some time behind the plate.

What may be even more interesting would be if Howie Kendrick or Juan Uribe missed any significant time. Players like Justin Turner, Darwin Barney, and Enrique Hernandez are all on the roster to fill-in when needed at second or third base, but to know Barnes is available is a wild card Andrew Friedman and company could play at any time, especially if his bat plays throughout spring training. Barnes is projected by ZIPS to have more plate appearances than either Grandal or Ellis and to post a 2.2 WAR.

While nobody stands-out particularly, the three-headed catching monster of Grandal, Ellis, and Barnes actually projects quite nicely, adding-up to 6.7 wins. This is far lower than the Giants, but I bet it’s higher than a lot of other teams, and not as far behind as you might think by simply comparing Posey’s skill with that of Grandal or Ellis.

Winner: Giants

While we know a difference of two projected “Wins” through 162 games is marginal, we shouldn’t discount the simple principle of going with the team who has the best player. This is most of how every other position I’ll be looking at will be judged, and in this case that best player is smack-dab in the center of his prime. It’s true, the catcher position is a little bit different because back-up players at that position get innings and at-bats more often.

In this case, advanced stats or not, it doesn’t matter. The Dodgers have improved themselves at catcher, but the Giants have the advantage going into the season. The Dodgers and their fans hope that advantage isn’t as prominent as most casual fans might think.

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