Joey Wagman takes the mound Friday in Cal Poly’s first NCAA Tournament in four years. By Owen Main

Larry Lee and the Cal Poly Mustangs baseball team is heading to UCLA today to play San Diego in the Regional round of the NCAA baseball tournament. Four teams will show up in Westwood and only one will leave Sunday or Monday with a victory and a trip to a Super Regional.

The baseball team is the second major Cal Poly team to head to the NCAA Tournament this year — the women’s basketball team went in March. But unlike in basketball, a baseball team like Cal Poly’s has a real shot to go deep into the tournament. Here’s why.

The Regional Tournament Structure

Instead of winning six straight games (as is necessary in the NCAA Basketball Tournament), Cal Poly just needs to win three double-elimination tournaments to win the whole thing. Victory in even the first weekend’s Regional would put Cal Poly in baseball’s “Sweet 16.” Baseball is a funny sport — the most talented team doesn’t always win. With a few hot pitchers, solid defense, and timely hitting, a team can grit its way to success in a tournament like this.

Pitching

The adage is that in a baseball postseason, it all comes down to pitching. This is true, to an extent. A great pitcher or a pitcher who is hot can make a huge difference. Like a goalie in hockey or a great quarterback, a hot pitcher can steal a team a game. That being said, pitchers can generally only start once on a regional weekend. This means that pitching depth also comes into play. With games on possibly four consecutive days, pitching depth is a huge deal. Pitchers who maybe got small amounts of mid-week innings during the season could be called upon in a potential elimination game on Sunday or Monday, when the pressure is on.

Cal Poly’s top two starters –Joey Wagman and Matt Imhoff — have shown they have what it takes to get hot and dominate single games. If those two can get hot and win, finishing a potential series weekend might be a little more challenging. With Sunday and Wednesday pitchers going late in a regional weekend, anything can happen.

Non-Conference

Cal Poly’s top-25 RPI is due to very good non-conference series’ against Kansas State, Washington, and San Francisco. The Mustangs have played in unfamiliar confines, which should help them as they head to Jackie Robinson Stadium, the home of UCLA.

The Big West

Last season, the second-place Mustangs — and by proxy the Big West — was snubbed as only one team made the NCAA Tournament from the conference. This season, three teams got bids from the Big West. This means that Big West teams like Cal Poly has also been tested throughout the season in-conference.

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So, how would I actually rate Cal Poly’s chances in this tournament? Because it’s baseball, it’s really hard to say. Here’s what I am confident in: though they have not played well on the road in-conference this year, I think they have as good a chance as UCLA to get out of the regional. They’ve played tough teams all year and some of their players still haven’t hit their stride offensively. If guys like David Armendariz and Jimmy Allen can match the punch that Nick Torres, Brian Mundell, Denver Chavez, and Elliot Stewart have been providing, the Mustangs could be looking at a Super Regional. If the pitching holds up. Darn it, it always comes down to pitching, doesn’t it?…

Larry Lee has been coaching baseball on the Central Coast for 30 years. Photo courtesy of Cal Poly Athletics

Larry Lee is San Luis Obispo college baseball. A San Luis Obispo High School graduate, Lee has been coaching college baseball in San Luis Obispo for about 30 years. Lee spent 16 seasons at Cuesta College and is getting ready for his 11th at Cal Poly.

In 2012, Cal Poly finished the season with a flurry, winning their last 7 games of the season and 9 of their last 10. Despite their 16-8 conference record (2nd place) and 36-20 overall record, the Mustangs were left out of postseason consideration. Cal State Fullerton (17-7, 36-21 overall), won the conference and received the only bid for the Big West into the tournament. Lee talked about why this is the case, what he has done to try to combat an east-coast bias, and the outlook for this year’s squad.